加密货币替代币市场萧条：38%的替代币交易价格低于FTX崩盘时的低点
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The market sentiment is bearish despite Bitcoin trading near $70,000. While the flagship cryptocurrency commands headlines with its resilience, a massive portion of the market is quietly bleeding out, especially the altcoins sector.
According to new data, nearly 40% of altcoins are currently trading near their all-time lows. More alarmingly, many have sunk below the prices seen during the catastrophic collapse of the FTX exchange in November 2022, including the FTX bottom.
Netizens don’t seem too excited by altcoins either. One X user wrote, “My altcoin portfolio is basically a meme now, but my diamond hands aren’t going anywhere!”
Meanwhile, another user wrote, “Actually, I am more bullish on altcoins than Bitcoin.”
It feels like a ghost town in the altcoin market right now. But does this signal the death of Altcoin Season, or is it the ultimate contrarian buy signal?
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“Altcoins Are Suffering From A Liquidity Drain”
“Altcoins are suffering from a ‘liquidity drain,’ where even minor shifts in sentiment trigger outsized sell-offs,” said Jimmy Xue, co-founder of liquidity platform Axis, in a media interview.
While Bitcoin has recovered significantly from the 2022 lows, the broader market has not followed suit.
Approximately 38% of altcoins are trading at or below their levels from the post-FTX crash. This indicates that for many assets, the entire bull run of 2024-2025 essentially didn’t happen. In fact, daily trading volume has plummeted. Major names are struggling. Polygon (POL) is trading just cents off its all-time low. Cardano (ADA) is hovering dangerously close to its cycle bottom, though it remains slightly above the absolute floor.
This divergence explains the frustration many retail investors feel. Social media interest in altcoins has fallen in tandem with prices, creating a feedback loop of apathy and selling pressure.
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Institutional Money Is Flowing Into Bitcoin Via ETFs, But It Isn’t Rotating Out
During the Market Cycle lows of 2019 and late 2023, altcoins were declared “dead” right before they pulled 10x to 50x returns. The fact that Google search volumes for “altcoins” have dropped to a yearly low of 4 out of 100 suggests we are deep in the capitulation phase (when investors give up and sell out of despair).
Even strong projects take hits during these phases. We recently saw Solana down 67% in a crash that seemed fatal at the moment, only for it to remain a top contender for network activity. The market ruthlessly tests your conviction before rewarding you.
In previous cycles, money flowed from Bitcoin to Ethereum, and then down to smaller caps. That pipeline is currently clogged. The problem is liquidity.
Right now, Bitcoin Dominance is suffocating alts. Institutional money is flowing into Bitcoin via ETFs, but it isn’t rotating out. Instead, institutional demand and ETF flows have become a walled garden, keeping capital locked in the safest asset.
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38% of altcoins are trading below the price levels seen during the FTX collapse of 2022, signaling a severe hidden bear market.
Extreme apathy and low search volume usually signal late-stage capitulation, historically a precursor to a market reversal.
Liquidity remains trapped in Bitcoin due to high dominance; altcoins likely won’t recover until BTC consolidates or breaks ATH.
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