比特币刚刚出现了“死亡交叉”的信号，这在过去往往预示着市场触底，但目标价位究竟是多少呢？?
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Bitcoin (BTC) has just flashed a ‘Death Cross,’ a technical signal that has historically preceded major market bottoms. Market analyst CrypFlow, who identified the chart pattern, notes that the current setup is unfolding almost identically to the 2022 bear market cycle. In his analysis, he outlines a potential price target for a Bitcoin bottom and shares what history suggests could come next if the death cross follows the same trajectory as in previous cycles.
Bitcoin Death Cross Signals More Downside
CrypFlow shared his foreboding analysis on X, confirming a Death Cross on the three-day BTC chart that had previously signaled bear-market bottoms. The formation comes as Bitcoin faces significant selling pressure and market volatility, with investor sentiment down the drain and geopolitical tensions fueling more fear and panic, pushing holders to exit the market.
CrypFlow has stated that the current Death Cross formed against a backdrop of Bitcoin trading around $66,200 at the time of the analysis, with the figure well below the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $89,799 and the 200 SMA at $91,226. The massive gap between the price and both moving averages underscores how aggressively the market has deteriorated since Bitcoin’s cycle top above $126,000 in October 2025.
The analyst draws a direct comparison between the current Death Cross and the 2022 bear market cycle, in which an identical Death Cross pattern preceded Bitcoin’s most devastating price crash to a final bottom. In that cycle, CrypFlow noted that the Death Cross formation came after reaching a peak above $66,000.
Once Bitcoin reached this ATH level, it began trending downwards, forming a Death Cross, which eventually led to a final capitulation low one month later. Interestingly, the cryptocurrency experienced a Double Bottom after crashing again in 2023, with this final decline serving as the foundation for the next bull run.
Analyst Shares BTC Bottom Target And Timeline
The Death Cross pattern is widely recognized as a bearish warning sign, indicating more pain ahead for Bitcoin. Following the 2022 cycle, when the market bottomed roughly one month after the cross was confirmed, CrypFlow has identified March 29, 2026, as a critical window to watch for Bitcoin’s potential price floor this cycle. He suggests a possible target near $50,000, framing the projected one-month timeframe as a historically informed inflection point rather than a guaranteed outcome.
CrypFlow has outlined three distinct conditions it intends to monitor as that window approaches. The first is continued price weakness into late March, which could serve as a behavioral confirmation that the current cycle is mirroring past patterns. The second condition the analyst is watching for is evidence of seller exhaustion near the March 29 window.
His third and perhaps most important condition is the reclaiming of key moving averages following any potential bottom. CrypFlow stressed that this reclaim should be viewed as confirmation of a completed bottom.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:0e8c56950094b:0-bitcoin-just-flashed-death-cross-that-has-led-to-previous-bottoms-but-what-s-the-target/