如何在“消息面利空”之后交易比特币：BTC面临75,000美元支撑位压力

[라온]

Prediction Score: -5 / +10 Bias: Bearish while Bitcoin remains below 80,450, with 75,000 now the key support test

Bitcoin futures remain under pressure after the recent sell-the-news reaction I warned about very early Friday, followed by a trading map for consideration for Bitcoin traders. The key bearish gateway was 80,450, and once BTC failed below that area, the market opened the door to a deeper rotation lower. The next major decision zone is now near 75,200-75,000, where traders should watch whether buyers defend the level or whether sellers force another breakdown.

Key takeaways for Bitcoin traders

BTC remains bearish below 80,450.
75,200-75,000 is the next major support zone to watch.
A reclaim of 76,500-77,100 would be the first sign of bullish repair.
A sustained break below 75,000 keeps bears in control.
Traders should consider taking partial profits before obvious levels and managing risk after TP1 or TP2.

1. What is the Bitcoin prediction score today? The Bitcoin futures prediction score is -5 / +10, which reflects a bearish bias while BTC remains below the key 80,450 recovery level.

2. Why is 75,000 important for Bitcoin traders? The 75,200-75,000 area is the next major support test because it combines prior support, psychological round-number importance, and a likely zone for short-covering or dip-buying attempts.

3. What level would confirm bullish repair in Bitcoin futures? A sustained reclaim of 76,500-77,100 would be the first sign of bullish repair, while a stronger recovery would require BTC to reclaim 80,450.

4. What are the bearish Bitcoin targets if 75,000 fails? If BTC breaks and holds below 75,000, bearish targets sit near 74,300-74,500, 72,900-73,000, 71,500-71,700, and 71,150-71,400.

Why is 80,450 important for Bitcoin futures?

The 80,450 level remains the main recovery gate for Bitcoin futures. While BTC trades below it, bounce attempts should be treated carefully. They may be short-covering rallies or dip-buying reactions inside a broader bearish structure, not necessarily a confirmed bullish reversal.

The market has also lost the prior higher acceptance area near 79,000-80,500, which makes the current selloff more meaningful. Sellers did not only push BTC lower. They pushed it below a prior value area where buyers previously had a better chance to stabilize price.

What is the key Bitcoin support zone now?

Crypto traders should now focus on 75,200-75,000.

This area matters because it sits near a prior support shelf and close to the major psychological 75,000 level. It is also the type of zone where late shorts may take profit, while aggressive dip buyers may attempt to defend the market.

That does not mean 75,000 must hold. It means this is the next real test.

A stronger bullish reaction would likely include:

A probe into or slightly below 75,000
Failure by sellers to extend the move
A reclaim of 76,500-77,100
Sustained acceptance above that zone
A weak reaction would look different: a small bounce that fails below 76,500-77,100, followed by renewed selling.

Bitcoin futures key price levels May 18, 2026, investingLive

Bitcoin tradeCompass map

BTC futures zone Bias What it means
Above 80,450 Bullish repair Bears lose the first major gateway
79,000-80,450 Resistance zone Bounce can still fail here
76,500-77,100 First repair zone Bulls need to reclaim and hold this area
75,200-75,000 Key support test Main area to watch for reversal behavior
Below 75,000 Bearish continuation Opens the path toward 73,000 and possibly 71,400
71,150-71,400 Deep support cluster Larger downside target if selling accelerates
If Bitcoin reverses near 75,000, where are the upside targets?

If BTC shows a real reversal attempt near 75,000, the first confirmation would likely be a sustained reclaim of 76,500-77,100.

For bullish traders, possible partial profit areas include:

Bullish target zone Why it matters
76,900-77,050 First nearby repair target, placed before clear resistance
77,900-78,100 Next short-covering area if the bounce gains traction
78,850-79,100 Below the prior breakdown and high-volume zone
79,900-80,300 Ahead of the key 80,450 bearish gateway
81,700-82,100 More ambitious target if BTC reclaims 80,450 with strength
The practical point is important: targets should be set before the most obvious levels, not exactly on them. Many traders will be watching 77,000, 79,000, 80,000, and 80,450. Bitcoin can reverse slightly before those levels as faster traders take profits.

What happens if Bitcoin breaks below 75,000?

If BTC loses 75,000 with sustained selling, the support attempt has failed. In that case, the bearish scenario remains active, and traders should not assume dip buyers will automatically step in.

Below 75,000, possible bearish partial profit targets include:

Bearish target zone Why it matters
74,300-74,500 First downside continuation area after a 75,000 failure
72,900-73,000 Ahead of chart support near 72,840
71,500-71,700 Upper edge of the deeper support cluster
71,150-71,400 Major lower support area if selling accelerates
The 71,150-71,400 zone is the deeper bearish target area. But traders should not assume BTC gets there in one clean move. If price reaches the first or second bearish target quickly, sharp counter-trend bounces are very possible.

Trade management note for Bitcoin traders

If trading a reversal from the 75,000 area, the first bounce should not be treated as proof of a major low. Bitcoin needs to reclaim nearby resistance and hold it.

After TP1 is reached, and especially after TP2, traders may consider moving the stop to entry, reducing position size, or trailing the stop behind higher lows. The same logic applies to short trades. If BTC breaks below 75,000 and reaches the first or second downside target, traders should avoid allowing a profitable short to turn into a full loss if the market snaps back above the breakdown level.

What many Bitcoin traders may get wrong

The obvious level is 75,000, but the trade is not simply “buy 75,000” or “short below 75,000.”

The better question is whether BTC shows acceptance or rejection around that area. A fast wick below 75,000 followed by a reclaim of 76,500-77,100 would be very different from a sustained break below 75,000 that fails to recover.

For now, Bitcoin futures remain bearish below 80,450, but the next major decision area is clearly near 75,000.

Trade Bitcoin futures at your own risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/forexlive:aa0fc3579094b:0-how-to-trade-bitcoin-after-the-sell-the-news-move-btc-bears-pressure-75-000-support/