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  3. Peter Schiff Warns of a “Death Spiral” in MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy

彼得·席夫警告称,MicroStrategy的比特币策略正面临“死亡螺旋”的风险

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    Peter Schiff is warning that MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin-backed yield strategy is heading toward a death spiral, claiming the company’s expanding STRC preferred stock issuance now threatens both MSTR shares and Bitcoin itself.

    The economist and longtime Bitcoin
    BTCUSD
    critic argues that Strategy’s variable 11.5% dividend cannot be funded without selling Bitcoin or attracting an endless stream of new STRC buyers, a setup he calls structurally unstable.

    Inside Schiff’s MicroStrategy Thesis

    In recent posts on X, Schiff said the gap between Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings and its growing cash obligations defines the danger. Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, now holds 815,061 BTC after a $2.54 billion purchase on April 20, financed mostly through equity issuance.

    Bitcoin produces no native cash flow, while STRC pays a variable 11.5% annualized dividend each month to holders. Schiff says that math eventually forces Strategy into a binary choice.

    Either it sells BTC to fund payouts, or it keeps issuing fresh STRC to a shrinking pool of yield buyers.

    Why Strategy Must Keep Issuing STRC

    STRC has financed roughly 50,792 BTC since launching in July 2025 at a 9% dividend. Seven consecutive monthly increases have lifted the rate to its current 11.5%. Schiff argues that climb proves the model depends on capital raises rather than recurring operations.

    Strategy purchased 64,948 BTC in 2026 alone before the latest tranche, tracking far ahead of its historical buying pace. That acceleration depends on capital markets staying open and STRC retaining demand near current yields.

    Each fresh STRC issuance compounds the recurring cash burden, raising the share Strategy must cover from external sources. Other analysts have flagged similar concerns about how the security might behave during periods of credit-market stress or rising rates.

    What Could Break the Yield Loop

    If STRC demand cools, Schiff predicts forced Bitcoin sales would follow, pressuring BTC prices and Strategy’s net asset value. He also notes perpetual preferred dividends carry no firm legal floor, meaning the company could pause payments without triggering a formal default.

    Some commentators have separately framed the resulting exposure as a systemic risk for the wider crypto market.

    Saylor has repeatedly rejected those framings, citing MSTR’s long-run outperformance and the company’s $42 billion at-the-market program announced in March.

    He has also publicly challenged Schiff to debate the STRC structure on his terms. Whether buyers keep absorbing STRC near current yields, and at what dividend level, will largely decide whose framing holds in the coming months.
    source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/beincrypto:26350c3b0094b:0-peter-schiff-warns-of-a-death-spiral-in-microstrategy-s-bitcoin-strategy/

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