比特币看涨指数首次在当前熊市中转为中性
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Bitcoin’s Bull Score Index has climbed back to 50, moving out of outright bearish territory and into what CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno described as a neutral zone.
In a post on X, the CryptoQuant head of research wrote: “First time in this bear market that the Bull Score Index enters neutral zone (50). In March 2022, the Bull Score entered neutral territory for about a week, and then the price resumed its decline.”
What This Means For Bitcoin Price
That comparison is doing most of the work here. Moreno is not presenting the move to 50 as confirmation of a durable trend reversal. He is pointing instead to a prior episode in which conditions improved just enough to leave bearish territory, only for the market to roll over again soon after. The implication is straightforward: neutral is better than bearish, but it is not the same thing as bullish.
The CryptoQuant chart helps frame that shift. The index spent much of mid-2025 in stronger territory, with readings frequently above 60 while bitcoin traded broadly in a higher range and pushed above $120,000.That backdrop changed sharply later in the year. As price weakened into late 2025 and early 2026, the Bull Score Index deteriorated as well, at times dropping toward the bottom of the scale as bitcoin sank into the low-$60,000s.
What stands out now is the recovery in the indicator from those depressed readings. By April, the Bull Score had risen back to roughly 50 as bitcoin recovered toward the mid-$70,000 range. In other words, market conditions as measured by CryptoQuant are no longer flashing the same degree of weakness they were earlier in the downturn. But they have not yet crossed into the zone the chart labels as bullish, which begins at 60.
That leaves the signal in an awkward but important middle ground. A move from bearish to neutral can indicate that selling pressure is easing and that some underlying conditions are improving. It can also mark nothing more than a pause inside a broader downtrend. Moreno’s 2022 analogy suggests he sees that ambiguity as the key point, rather than the headline value of 50 on its own.
The Bull Score Index is one of CryptoQuant’s composite Bitcoin market gauges. Rather than tracking a single datapoint, it measures the share of bullish readings across 10 key indicators tied to network activity, investor profitability, liquidity, and other fundamental and technical conditions.
That is why the move to 50 matters: on CryptoQuant’s framework, it suggests that roughly half of the indicators that define a bullish regime have turned constructive again, even if the market is still short of the 60-plus zone the firm treats as outright bullish.
At press time, BTC traded at $78,057.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:3bd5d6fc8094b:0-bitcoin-bull-score-index-turns-neutral-for-first-time-this-bear-market/