谷歌表示量子技术取得突破可能指日可待：加密货币持有者是否应该担忧？?

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Google just crossed a line that scientists spent decades arguing was theoretically possible but practically out of reach. On February 9, 2026, Google’s quantum team demonstrated below-threshold quantum error correction, meaning that adding more qubits to their system actually reduced errors instead of multiplying them. That sounds like an internal engineering milestone. It isn’t.

For Bitcoin and Ethereum holders, this matters because the entire security model of cryptocurrency rests on a single assumption: that certain mathematical problems are too hard to solve in any reasonable timeframe. Quantum computers are specifically designed to shred that assumption. The question is how close they actually are to doing it.

The honest answer is: closer than last year, but not close enough to panic. Here’s how to think about it clearly.

What Google’s Quantum Chip Actually Means for Crypto and Bitcoin

Think of your Bitcoin wallet like a combination lock with a 78-digit combination. A classical computer brute-forcing it would need longer than the age of the universe. That is not hyperbole. That is just math.

Quantum computers do not brute-force anything. They find mathematical shortcuts through problems classical computers cannot shortcut. For Bitcoin, the vulnerability sits in ECDSA, the algorithm that proves you own your coins when you send a transaction.

Here is the specific threat. When you send Bitcoin, your public key gets broadcast to the network. A sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could theoretically work backward from that public key to derive your private key.

Google’s recent milestone matters because it cracks open the path toward fault-tolerant quantum machines. They are not there yet. But they proved the path is real.
This creates a threat called harvest now, decrypt later. Sophisticated attackers can record blockchain transactions today and store them, waiting for quantum hardware to catch up. Old exposed public keys are already sitting in the archive.

The alarmist take is wrong. Quantum computers relevant to cryptography require thousands of stable, error-corrected logical qubits. Today’s best systems have a handful. Most cryptographers put the realistic threat timeline at 10 to 20 years.

But the structural risk is real and growing. The harvest-now-decrypt-later attack is not theoretical. It is already happening.

Not all wallets carry equal exposure either. Bitcoin addresses that have never sent a transaction have never broadcast their public key. The moment you send, the quantum clock starts. Address reuse is the specific vulnerability.

Ethereum is structurally more exposed. After your first transaction, your public key is permanently on-chain by design. Every Ethereum address that has ever sent a transaction has an exposed public key. That is the default state.

The honest position is simple. Immediate risk is low. Structural risk is real and growing. The time to prepare is before the hardware catches up.

The Crypto Community Isn’t Ignoring This

NIST finalized its first post-quantum cryptography standards in 2024. CRYSTALS-Dilithium for digital signatures. CRYSTALS-Kyber for key encapsulation. These are the replacements that financial infrastructure, including crypto protocols, will eventually migrate toward.

Ethereum has a more flexible path. Account abstraction creates a viable upgrade route for swapping out signature schemes as quantum hardware matures.

Bitcoin’s path is harder. Migration requires a hard fork. Every node and wallet must adopt it. Bitcoin governance moves slowly by design, which is a feature for decentralization but a complication for coordinated upgrades. The conversation has started. The upgrade has not.
None of this requires emergency action today. But a few habits cost nothing and could matter significantly down the road.

Stop reusing Bitcoin addresses. Every send from the same address re-exposes your public key. Most modern wallets generate fresh addresses automatically. Make sure yours is doing that.

Move funds sitting in old transacted addresses. If Bitcoin is sitting in an address that has previously sent transactions, move it to a fresh one. That resets the exposure clock.

Watch for PQC compatibility announcements. As post-quantum standards roll out across financial infrastructure in 2026 to 2027, prioritize wallets and exchanges that move early.

Do not ignore long-dormant wallets. Old wallets with exposed public keys and large balances are the highest value targets when quantum hardware eventually matures. Moving those into fresh addresses is a reasonable long-term step.

The frame is not panic. It is maintenance. The same way you would not leave a decade-old password on a critical account forever, Bitcoin address hygiene should not be treated as optional indefinitely.

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The post Google Says Quantum Breakthroughs May Be Closer: Should Crypto Holders Worry? appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/99Bitcoins:00ec3ce7c094b:0-google-says-quantum-breakthroughs-may-be-closer-should-crypto-holders-worry/