比特币的牛市周期正按计划进行：分析师透露牛市何时开始
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Over the years, Bitcoin has maintained a near-consistent bull cycle pattern, usually starting and ending in a similar number of days. As a result, using the previous cycle pattern has become a popular way to try to predict when the next bull market will start and when the next bear market will begin. One of the patterns that many have followed to try to predict the next bull run is the number of days between each cycle, and one analyst is using it to predict the next move.
The 1,065-Day Rule That Predicts The Next Bitcoin Bull Run
Crypto analyst @0xbeehive took to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to explain a trend that has repeated over the last two cycles and could repeat again this time. This trend comes up with the number of days that go by between each bull market and when the next bear market begins.
The crypto analyst goes as far back as the 2018-2021 market cycle, which was one of the most important bull runs in the history of Bitcoin. Apparently, the bear market had run for a total of 365 days, so one year, before it eventually bottomed and began the next cycle move. This bull run would last for 1,066 days before topping.
The result of this bull run was a massive rally that saw the Bitcoin price go from below $5,000 in 2020 to $69,000 before topping in 2021. This shows that this trend is powerful, and if the Bitcoin price does stick to it, then it could be a major run for it.
Next on the list is the 2022-2025 bull run that saw another major Bitcoin price rally. The same trend repeated as the analyst shows that the Bitcoin price spent 365 days in the bear market before bottoming. Then, the bull market would resume and run for a similar 1,065 days, leading to an over 10x return, with the price going from $16,000 in 2022 and topping at $126,000 in 2025.
This time around, the crypto analyst has highlighted that the same trend could be playing out once again. Currently, the bear cycle is still running, but it still has some ways to go before it’s completed. According to the analyst’s chart, the bear market will bottom in the last quarter of 2026, reaching somewhere around $47,000 in the process.
As always, the crypto analyst expects a bull run that will last for another 1,065 days, but with diminishing returns as seen over the last few cycles. In this case, it would see the Bitcoin price cross $200,000, which would be an over 5x return for the digital asset.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:41cb5da6d094b:0-bitcoin-bull-cycle-is-right-on-schedule-analyst-reveals-when-the-bull-run-will-begin/