比特币供应量地图揭示关键的支撑位和阻力位——分析师

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According to market analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin’s price-based supply distribution is revealing critical zones that could define the asset’s near-term trajectory. This latest piece of important on-chain data is offering a clearer picture of where the market may be headed next, following the positive price action observed in early April.

61% Of BTC Supply In Profit Despite Bear Season

In an X post on April 11, Darkfost shares an insight into Bitcoin’s price structure based on its supply distribution pattern. At current prices, the renowned expert reports that approximately 61% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply was acquired below the spot price, leaving 39% purchased at higher levels. This positioning suggests that a majority of market participants remain in profit, a condition often associated with a more constructive market structure.

Interestingly, further data analysis reveals a notable concentration of investor activity in the $65,000- $70,000 range. While this zone reflects both buying and selling activity rather than pure accumulation, it still represents a key area where a significant volume of coins last changed hands. Because this range sits below the current price, it is interpreted as a potential support floor and a good accumulation zone for smart money investors.
On the upside, a similar cluster of activity has emerged between $90,000 and $95,000, which Darkfost expects could act as a formidable resistance level. This is because market participants who acquired Bitcoin at this price range are likely to exit their positions once prices return to their cost basis, thereby creating a barrier to further upward movement.

However, Darkfost warns that not all activity clusters carry the same weight. The analyst considers the $85,000 region non-sequential from a technical standpoint, despite showing elevated transaction volume. This is largely due to the influence of exchange-related transfers, most notably a substantial transfer of nearly 800,000 BTC from Coinbase, which distorts the data and fails to reflect genuine investor sentiment or conviction.

Bitcoin Price Pocket Lies Above $75,000

Another key insight from the supply map is the presence of a relatively low-activity zone, often referred to as an “air pocket,” above $75,000. In this range, Bitcoin has historically seen limited trading activity, implying fewer barriers to price movement. As a result, if Bitcoin enters this zone with sufficient momentum, it could either move through it rapidly or undergo a brief consolidation phase before continuing higher. At press time, the premier cryptocurrency trades at $71,535, up 6.45% over the last seven days.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:f2eefcaa7094b:0-bitcoin-supply-map-reveals-key-support-and-resistance-zones-analyst/