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  3. Bitcoin risks new lows as US dollar targets highest level since April 2025

比特币面临跌至新低的风险,而美元正试图触及自2025年4月以来的最高水平

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    Bitcoin (BTC) saw another $69,000 rejection on Thursday as risk-assets suffered over US-Iran war headlines. Meanwhile, one trader warned that a strengthening dollar “will send crypto and stocks to new lows.”

    Key points:

    Bitcoin faces fresh downside pressure as stocks and gold fall on US President Donald Trump’s address to the nation.

    US dollar strength ramps up on the back of an anticipated breakout to yearly highs.

    Bitcoin would face “new lows” from a dollar comeback, a trader warns.

    Bitcoin, stocks and gold all fall on Trump address

    Data from TradingView showed 2% daily BTC price losses with lows near $66,200.
    cointelegraph_5623b258f094b-fe36688aecd3b55af74979a0a587fb6d-resized.webp
    Crypto had joined stocks and gold in falling on the back of an address to the nation by US President Donald Trump. While markets anticipated deescalation, Trump’s tone left the door open for further escalation of the conflict.

    “Between threatening Iran's power plants, saying the Iran War would last 2-3 more weeks, and calling out NATO, there was nothing new,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in a reaction on X.

    “Yet, the market is now trading like the Iran War is ramping up for another month-long escalation. Why? Because he didn't explicitly de-escalate.”
    cointelegraph_5623b258f094b-f019eb09f3375a7c83e0c65b09a70aa1-resized.webp
    Kobeissi called the address “incredibly puzzling,” suggesting that it would fuel and not calm market nerves.

    “The market, which was finally beginning to show some signs of calming, is now highly agitated, with US oil prices back to $104/barrel, stocks down sharply, and the bond market melting down again,” it added.

    “Ironically, President Trump is now back to solving the problem he fixed earlier this week: How will he contain the market?”
    cointelegraph_5623b258f094b-c76346d2a1f224ccea5167c7d56d951c-resized.webp
    With oil firmly above the $100 per barrel mark, US dollar strength also rebounded to the key 100 level on the day.

    Traditionally inversely correlated with Bitcoin, the US dollar index (DXY) was already tipped for a more significant rebound after hitting multi-year lows in January.

    “DXY stage is set. We are waiting for that breakout confirmation,” trader and analyst Aksel Kibar told X followers last week, offering a target of 104 — its highest level since April 2025.
    cointelegraph_5623b258f094b-968bf17b910d08e953d7c09f24bb4ff1-resized.webp
    Crypto trader BitBull forecast an expansion phase for DXY next, with new lows for risk assets as a result.

    Analyst eyes copycat BTC price bear flag

    Some market participants continued to focus on Bitcoin’s latest bear flag construction — one that also carried the risk of a breakdown.

    As Cointelegraph reported, BTC price action closely echoed a bear-flag support collapse seen at the start of 2026.

    Commenting, Keith Alan, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, said that
    BTCUSD
    still lacks “directional momentum.”

    “Structurally, $BTC price action is still nearly identical to the prior bear flag structure,” he wrote on X.

    “Nothing says that it has to continue to mimic that price behavior, but I'm following it like roadmap until price deviates from that path.”
    cointelegraph_5623b258f094b-909560098898de82554f3721c4554ba3-resized.webp
    source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:5623b258f094b:0-bitcoin-risks-new-lows-as-us-dollar-targets-highest-level-since-april-2025/

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