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  3. Altcoins Approach Historic Stress Levels as 38% of Tokens Near All-Time Lows

其他加密货币正面临历史性的压力,其中38%的代币价格逼近历史最低点

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    Altcoins have been under sustained pressure for months as the broader crypto market continues to grapple with a prolonged bear phase that began after the 2021 bull cycle. While Bitcoin has managed to preserve a portion of its macro uptrend, most alternative cryptocurrencies have struggled to regain momentum, with many still trading far below their previous cycle highs. This persistent weakness reflects declining liquidity, fading investor appetite for speculative assets, and an increasing concentration of capital in Bitcoin.

    According to a recent CryptoQuant report, understanding the condition of altcoins has become just as important as tracking Bitcoin’s price movements when evaluating the overall health of the crypto market. One indicator that provides insight into this dynamic is the “Altcoins Near ATL” metric, which measures the percentage of altcoins currently trading close to their all-time low levels. In this framework, altcoins refer to all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins.
    newsbtc_b1d9f3ebd094b-6bf0f4f9aa5510214bbb2d0d84700bd8-resized.webp
    The chart, developed by CryptoQuant Verified Author Darkfost, highlights the scale of the current market stress. Data shows that approximately 38% of altcoins are trading near their historical lows. In practical terms, nearly four out of ten altcoins are hovering close to their weakest price levels since launch.

    Such readings typically emerge during periods of extreme market stress, when risk appetite deteriorates and investors rotate capital toward larger, more established assets.

    Extreme ATL Readings Reflect Stress Across the Altcoin Market

    The report explains that elevated readings in the “Altcoins Near ATL” metric typically emerge during periods of intense market stress. When a large percentage of altcoins trade close to their all-time lows, it signals that many assets are locked in prolonged downtrends and that investor sentiment toward higher-risk cryptocurrencies has deteriorated significantly.

    A major factor behind this dynamic is the concentration of capital in Bitcoin. Institutional inflows—particularly through spot Bitcoin ETFs—have increasingly drawn liquidity toward BTC, leaving many smaller tokens struggling to attract fresh demand. As more capital flows into Bitcoin, the relative share of investment directed toward altcoins shrinks.

    At the same time, the number of cryptocurrencies available in the market has expanded rapidly in recent years. This growing supply of tokens intensifies competition for capital, meaning that liquidity is spread across a larger universe of assets. As a result, many projects fail to secure sustained investor interest, increasing the likelihood of prolonged price declines.

    Macroeconomic conditions also contribute to this environment. Higher interest rates and tighter liquidity conditions tend to reduce risk appetite across financial markets. Under such circumstances, investors typically rotate toward larger and more established assets while speculative tokens face stronger selling pressure.

    Historically, however, extreme ATL readings have sometimes appeared near the later stages of market cycles, when selling pressure is already largely absorbed.

    Altcoins Struggle To Hold Key Support

    The weekly chart of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding the top 10 assets highlights the prolonged weakness across the broader altcoin sector. Currently sitting near $170 billion, this segment of the market remains significantly below the peaks recorded during previous cycles, reflecting the sustained underperformance of smaller cryptocurrencies.
    newsbtc_b1d9f3ebd094b-79780f7c9d6024bebab7c36bda0ad0ee-resized.webp
    After reaching highs near $450 billion in early 2022, the altcoin market experienced a steep decline during the broader bear market that followed the collapse of several major crypto firms and tightening global liquidity. Although the sector staged a recovery throughout 2024 and early 2025—briefly pushing market capitalization back toward the $400 billion region—momentum faded again in late 2025, leading to the current downturn.

    Technically, the market cap is now trading below the 50-week and 100-week moving averages, both of which are sloping downward and acting as resistance levels. The 200-week moving average sits near the $200 billion region, forming a critical structural level that altcoins have recently lost. This breakdown reinforces the broader bearish structure that has persisted across much of the sector.

    From a structural perspective, the chart continues to display a pattern of lower highs and declining momentum. Unless the market can reclaim the $200–$220 billion region, altcoins may remain trapped in a prolonged consolidation phase while liquidity continues to concentrate in larger assets such as Bitcoin.

    Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
    source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:b1d9f3ebd094b:0-altcoins-approach-historic-stress-levels-as-38-of-tokens-near-all-time-lows/

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